As we step into a new year, the security landscape is rapidly evolving with technological advancements, policy shifts, and emerging threats shaping the way organizations and agencies protect critical assets. In this issue, we explore The Incoming Presidential Administration and Potential Impacts, analyzing how new leadership could influence security policies, defense strategies, and regulatory frameworks. As artificial intelligence continues to transform the security sector, our feature on The Role of AI in Security highlights its growing impact on threat detection, risk management, and operational efficiency.
Understanding the current threat landscape is crucial, which is why we take a deep dive into Recent Threat & Intelligence Assessments, offering key insights into evolving risks and adversarial tactics. In regulatory news, we examine CBP’s Notice of Proposed Rulemaking on De Minimis Cargo, a policy update that could reshape cargo security and customs enforcement.
Looking to the future, our Advancements in Security and Defense section highlights cutting-edge technologies poised to enhance resilience and situational awareness. Finally, we showcase Optimizing Security with Digital Twins: Salem-Hope Creek’s Success Story, a real-world example of how digital twin technology is revolutionizing critical infrastructure protection.
From policy to innovation, The Edge keeps you informed and prepared for the challenges ahead.
Stay informed, stay secure, and stay ahead with The Edge.
President-elect Donald Trump is scheduled to be inaugurated as the 47th President of the United States on Monday, January 20, 2025. The incoming presidential administration introduces potential shifts in regulations, funding priorities, and the adoption of advanced technologies, all of which could significantly impact the security industry. ARES has consolidated some key considerations for the security industry:
1. Regulatory Landscape
- Potential Deregulation: The administration may prioritize a deregulation agenda, possibly reducing mandatory compliance requirements in some sectors. This could impact areas like critical infrastructure security, cybersecurity reporting mandates, and environmental regulations.
- Focus on Voluntary Standards: A move toward voluntary compliance could place greater emphasis on private sector initiatives to adopt best practices and invest in security technologies without federal mandates.
- State-Level Regulations: States might take more prominent roles in enforcing security regulations, creating a patchwork of requirements that companies must navigate.
2. Budget Adjustments
- Potential Funding Cuts: Efforts to reduce federal spending could affect grant programs like the Port Security Grant Program (PSGP), Urban Area Security Initiative (UASI), and other preparedness initiatives.
- Reprioritization: Funds could shift toward high-profile areas like border security, defense, or emerging threats, potentially leaving less for critical infrastructure and cybersecurity enhancements.
- Increased Scrutiny: Programs tied to advanced technologies (e.g., AI, robotics, and drones) may see heightened budget reviews to ensure their alignment with national security goals and cost-effectiveness.
3. Advanced Technologies
- Artificial Intelligence and Automation: There is likely to be continued interest in leveraging AI for threat detection, surveillance, and operational efficiency. However, ethical and privacy concerns may drive calls for clearer guidelines or restrictions.
- Robotics and Drones: The integration of autonomous systems in security may receive more attention, especially in sectors like border control, logistics, and critical infrastructure monitoring.
- Quantum Computing: Preparations for post-quantum cryptography could gain traction as threats to traditional encryption methods grow.
- 5G and IoT Security: As reliance on interconnected devices increases, securing these technologies against cyber threats will remain a top priority.
4. Cybersecurity Emphasis
- Public-Private Partnerships: The administration may encourage collaboration between the government and private sector to address cybersecurity challenges, especially for critical infrastructure.
- Incident Reporting and Response: Regulations such as the Cyber Incident Reporting for Critical Infrastructure Act (CIRCIA) may be revisited, potentially broadening or scaling back reporting requirements.
5. Infrastructure Investments
- Modernization Initiatives: Ongoing infrastructure improvements could include security enhancements, providing opportunities for companies specializing in surveillance, access control, and physical security solutions.
- Climate Resilience: Security planning for infrastructure might increasingly factor in climate resilience, particularly for ports, power grids, and transportation networks.
6. Global Geopolitical Considerations
- Supply Chain Security: Geopolitical tensions may prompt stricter controls over supply chains, especially for technologies sourced from adversarial nations.
- Export Controls: Advanced security technologies like AI and encryption may face tighter export restrictions to prevent misuse by foreign entities.
7. Sector-Specific Opportunities
- Healthcare Security: With increasing threats to healthcare facilities, funding and technology development may target this sector.
- Energy Sector: Protecting energy infrastructure, particularly in light of a growing reliance on renewable energy sources, will likely remain a priority.
8. Talent and Workforce Development
Training and Retention: As technology evolves, there will be greater demand for a workforce skilled in AI, robotics, and cybersecurity.
Partnerships with Academia: The administration may support initiatives that encourage collaboration between the private sector, government, and educational institutions to address workforce shortages.
To remain proactive and resilient during this transition, the security industry should stay informed about legislative and budgetary changes, advocate for sustained or increased funding through industry associations and public-private partnerships, and invest in research and development for emerging technologies to remain competitive. Emphasizing adaptability to navigate evolving federal and state-level regulations and strengthening collaboration with government agencies, particularly CISA and DHS, will further align efforts with national security priorities. By focusing on these strategies, the industry can effectively address challenges and capitalize on opportunities during this period of change.
In the fast-evolving landscape of security, artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) are proving to be game changers. These technologies are not just buzzwords—they offer actionable solutions that enhance threat detection, streamline processes, and future-proof operations. For U.S. security professionals, adopting AI isn’t just an option; it’s a necessity to stay ahead of increasingly sophisticated threats. Below, we explore how to effectively incorporate AI into your security practices.
Explore the Potential & Define Your AI Strategy
Before diving in, understand its capabilities and establish clear objectives. Whether it’s improving threat detection accuracy, automating manual processes, or reducing response times, knowing your goals will ensure a targeted and successful AI integration.
Focus on Data Quality
AI thrives on high-quality data. Ensure that your datasets are clean, standardized, and well-organized. Strong data governance practices, including compliance with privacy laws, are key to avoiding pitfalls.
Choose the Right Tools
Not all AI solutions are created equal. Invest in platforms that align with your operational needs, are scalable, and integrate seamlessly with your existing infrastructure. Don’t forget to consider the flexibility of the tools for future customization.
Upskill Your Team
AI is most effective when paired with skilled human oversight. Invest in training programs to equip your team with the skills to interpret AI outputs and make informed decisions. Collaborating with data scientists and AI specialists can also amplify the benefits of these tools.
Stay Compliant
From addressing bias in AI-driven decisions to maintaining accountability, ethical and compliance considerations are paramount. Stay aware of current and upcoming federal and state regulations to ensure your AI initiatives align with legal requirements.
Monitor and Evolve
AI is not a “set it and forget it” solution. Regularly update machine learning models, assess their performance using defined metrics, and conduct independent audits to ensure continuous improvement and alignment with your goals.
Leverage Advanced AI Technologies
Explore tools like AI-powered drones for perimeter monitoring, predictive analytics to preempt vulnerabilities, and facial recognition for enhanced access control. These innovations can significantly elevate your security posture.
The integration of AI into security practices offers immense potential for efficiency, accuracy, and resilience. However, its success hinges on strategic implementation, ongoing evaluation, and ethical governance. By staying informed, upskilling teams, and fostering collaboration with both private and public entities, security professionals can harness the full power of AI while navigating its challenges.
AI is not just the future of security—it’s the present. By taking deliberate steps today, you can position your organization as a leader in embracing AI-driven advancements and safeguarding tomorrow.
In an era of evolving security challenges, U.S. government agencies like the Department of Homeland Security (DHS) and the Office of the Director of National Intelligence (ODNI) play a pivotal role in identifying and addressing threats to national safety. Recent threat assessments highlight a complex and dynamic landscape, characterized by domestic and foreign terrorism, advanced cyberattacks, and emerging technologies like unmanned aerial systems. These evaluations serve as critical tools for informing public and private sector strategies to mitigate risks and safeguard the nation’s critical infrastructure, institutions, and citizens. Below is a summary of key findings from recent intelligence reports.
The Department of Homeland Security (DHS) 2025 Homeland Threat Assessment released in October 2024 underscores several pressing concerns:
Domestic and Foreign Terrorism:
The threat from both domestic and foreign terrorism remains high, with individuals linked to terrorism exploiting border vulnerabilities. In fiscal year 2024, authorities encountered 422 individuals on the federal Terrorist Screening Data Set attempting to enter the U.S. via the U.S.-Mexico and U.S.-Canada borders.
Cyber Threats:
Nation-state actors, particularly from China, Iran, and Russia, continue to target U.S. critical infrastructure. For instance, a Chinese government-affiliated hacking group, Salt Typhoon, has been targeting global telecommunications systems since late spring or early summer 2024, compromising major U.S. companies like AT&T, Verizon, and T-Mobile.
Unmanned Aircraft Systems (UAS):
The illicit use of commercial drones presents a growing threat, with U.S. cities currently unprepared to handle such challenges. DHS has warned state and local law enforcement about this issue, emphasizing the need for preparedness through exercises and surveillance.
The Office of the Director of National Intelligence (ODNI) 2024 Annual Threat Assessment report published earlier in 2024 identifies:
- Strategic Competitors:
China is described as “ambitious but anxious,” while Russia is labeled as “confrontational,” with both nations posing significant challenges to U.S. interests.
- Cyber and Technological Threats:
Advancements in technology, including artificial intelligence, are being leveraged by adversaries to enhance their capabilities, necessitating a robust U.S. response.
CBP has issued a Notice of Proposed Rulemaking (NPRM) titled Entry of Low-Value Shipments. The proposal outlines new rules and requirements for low-value shipments under the De Minimis tariff exemption. Public comments can be submitted until March 17, 2025:
Key Objectives:
1. Interdiction of Contraband and Tariff Compliance:
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- Enhance CBP’s ability to intercept illegal shipments (e.g., fentanyl).
- Address misuse of the De Minimis exemption to avoid tariffs.
2. Administrative Efficiency:
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- Streamline CBP processes with improved data technology to align with modern trade practices.
Proposed Changes:
- Additional Data Requirements:
– Expanded data for verifying duty- and tax-free entry eligibility.
– Advance data on shipment contents, origin, destination, and involved parties.
- Enhanced Entry Process:
– Permanently implement the Entry Type 86 Test for electronic processing of low-value shipments.
- Clarified Definitions and Rules:
– Prevent misuse through stricter definitions of:
– Shipment manifest accuracy and valuation.
– Eligibility criteria for the $800 exemption.
– “One person” and aggregated shipment value rules (e.g., shipments exceeding $800 in one day by the same person lose eligibility).
- Harmonized Tariff Schedule Waiver:
– CBP seeks public feedback on data requirements and the waiver process.
Impacts:
- The $800 exemption threshold remains unchanged.
- Stricter eligibility criteria may disqualify some shipments, impacting trade volumes.
- CBP projects improved clearance rates, reduced transportation delays, and long-term cost savings for consumers.
How to Engage:
- Provide input on how these changes may affect businesses, consumers, and trade practices by submitting comments before March 17, 2025.
The security and defense industries are undergoing rapid transformation, driven by technological innovation and the need to address evolving global threats. From AI-powered decision-making systems to hypersonic weapons and advanced cybersecurity measures, these advancements not only enhance operational capabilities but also redefine the strategies used to safeguard nations and organizations. Below, we delve into some of the most significant innovations shaping the security landscape today.
AI and Machine Learning Revolution
Artificial intelligence is at the forefront of modern defense, enhancing threat detection and automating complex decision-making processes. For example, OpenAI has partnered with Anduril to supply cutting-edge AI technology to the U.S. military, focusing on improving air defense systems’ speed and accuracy. This partnership highlights the growing role of AI in managing high-stakes situations effectively. (Read more on Wired)
AI also drives advancements in autonomous systems, such as drones and unmanned vehicles. These technologies are increasingly deployed for surveillance and combat missions, reducing human risks and expanding the scope of operations. Recent conflicts in Ukraine and Taiwan have accelerated these innovations, underscoring their relevance in modern warfare. (Learn more on Reuters)
Hypersonic Weaponry
The U.S. Navy is taking a bold step by retrofitting the USS Zumwalt, a stealth destroyer, to house the nation’s first hypersonic weapons on a warship. These advanced weapons, capable of traveling at speeds exceeding Mach 5, offer unparalleled precision and rapid response capabilities. This development signifies a new era in defense technology, where speed and agility are paramount. (Read more on AP News)
Cybersecurity Enhancements
As cyber threats grow more sophisticated, governments and organizations are ramping up their defenses. The U.S. has allocated $13 billion to bolster cybersecurity, while the UK has invested £25 million to strengthen its IT infrastructure. These investments are critical as cybercrime costs are projected to reach $9.5 trillion in 2024. (Explore the details on FT)
Additionally, new regulatory measures, such as the U.S.’s Cyber Incident Reporting for Critical Infrastructure Act (CIRCIA), aim to enforce stronger cybersecurity protocols and enhance resilience against emerging threats. (Dive deeper on FT)
Quantum Encryption
Quantum encryption is paving the way for virtually unbreakable communication systems, ensuring the secure transmission of sensitive data. This technology is rapidly evolving, providing a vital layer of defense against future cyber threats. (Read more on Spotter Security)
Additive Manufacturing (3D Printing)
3D printing continues to revolutionize military logistics and production. The Department of Defense is using this technology to produce high-velocity munitions and custom vehicle components, enabling more efficient and adaptable defense solutions. (Learn about military tech trends on Exploding Topics)
Looking Ahead
The advancements highlighted above demonstrate the profound impact of technology on the security and defense sectors. From harnessing AI to developing quantum encryption and hypersonic weaponry, these innovations are shaping a safer, more secure future. As the landscape continues to evolve, staying informed and adaptable is crucial for stakeholders across industries.
For more insights into the latest developments, check out the full articles linked above, and stay tuned for more updates on how technology is redefining security and defense.
Rising security costs and the introduction of the DNP Efficiency Bulletin (SEC040) prompted the Salem-Hope Creek Nuclear Generating Station to reevaluate its defensive strategies. To address these challenges, the facility turned to a cutting-edge solution: leveraging the PEP model alongside quantitative security evaluations powered by modeling and simulation software.
From Traditional Methods to Data-Driven Decisions
Historically, Salem-Hope Creek’s security management relied on limited sources of information for decision-making. This included:
- Results and analysis from tabletop drills
- Limited-scope drills
- Annual Force-on-Force (FOF) exercises within the PEP framework
- Evaluations from Subject Matter Experts (SMEs) and industry peers
While valuable, these methods provided only a snapshot of the site’s security performance, lacking the depth and repeatability needed for comprehensive analysis.
The Digital Twin Advantage
To enhance their decision-making process, the Salem-Hope Creek team developed a digital twin—a 3D virtual replica of the facility that incorporated security and response capabilities. This innovation allowed them to simulate and analyze various security scenarios in a controlled, repeatable manner. By integrating modeling and simulation software, they gained the ability to:
- Test physical and staffing changes virtually before implementation
- Generate multiple, repeatable data sets to assess the impact of modifications
- Perform cost-effective, quantitative risk assessments
Using this advanced approach, the team could continuously optimize their defensive strategy while aligning with budgetary constraints.
Results: Increased Efficiency and Significant Savings
The implementation of the digital twin technology transformed Salem-Hope Creek’s approach to security. By analyzing their physical security configuration in a 3D environment, the team was able to optimize both effectiveness and cost. This data-driven methodology resulted in an impressive $7.1 million in annual savings while maintaining robust site security.
Conclusion: A Model for the Industry
Salem-Hope Creek’s success demonstrates the transformative potential of digital twin technology in the security industry. By shifting from traditional, reactive approaches to a proactive, data-driven strategy, they not only improved their defensive posture but also achieved significant cost efficiencies. Their story serves as an inspiring example for other facilities looking to modernize their security practices and embrace innovative solutions.
A collection of recent articles from The ARES Blog highlighting key advancements, insights, and trends in security and defense.
